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Cowboys vs. Packers odds, line, time: 2024 NFL Super Wild Card Weekend picks, predictions by top-rated model

The Dallas Cowboys will host the Green Bay Packers on Sunday as part of NFL Super Wild Card Weekend 2024. Dallas is the No. 2 seed as NFC East champions, while Green Bay is the 7-seed and final Wild Card team. The Cowboys went 12-5 during the regular season, including being the only team to go undefeated (8-0) at home. However, Green Bay is 5-0 all-time at AT&T Stadium. This 2024 NFL playoff bracket matchup will be the ninth postseason meeting between the franchises, which is tied for the most in NFL history.

Kickoff is set for 4:30 p.m. ET from AT&T Stadium in Arlington. Dallas is favored by seven points in the latest Cowboys vs. Packers odds via the SportsLine consensus, while the over/under is 50.5. Before locking in any Packers vs. Cowboys picks, you’ll want to see the NFL playoff predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters the 2024 NFL playoffs on an incredible 183-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 37-21 roll on top-rated picks since Week 7 of last season and has nailed seven straight top-rated picks entering the 2024 NFL playoffs. 

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Cowboys vs. Packers. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NFL betting lines for Packers vs. Cowboys:

  • Cowboys vs. Packers spread: Cowboys -7
  • Cowboys vs. Packers over/under: 50.5 points
  • Cowboys vs. Packers money line: Cowboys -343, Packers +271
  • DAL: Cowboys are 10-7 against the spread this season 
  • GB: Packers are 9-8 against the spread this season
  • Cowboys vs. Packers picks: See picks here
  • Cowboys vs. Packers live stream: fubo (try for free)

Why the Cowboys can cover

Not only is Dallas undefeated at home this season, but it’s been utterly dominant at its friendly confines. Six of Dallas’ eight home wins have been by 20-plus points, which is the most since the Super Bowl champion 1999 Rams. The Cowboys also are 6-2 against the spread at home, which is the second-best ATS home mark in the league. Meanwhile, Green Bay went just 2-5 ATS over its last seven road games of the 2023 season.

Adding to the Packers woes is their run defense, which allowed the fifth-most rushing yards this season. That should allow the Cowboys the type of offensive balance they strive for, as they already have the No. 3 passing offense. Dak Prescott led the NFL with 36 passing touchdowns, and he has an exceptional 22:3 TD-INT ratio at home. The Packers rank in the bottom 10 in both yards per pass attempt allowed and passer rating allowed, so Dallas should be able to easily move the ball through both the air and on the ground. See which team to pick here.

Why the Packers can cover

Green Bay had its ups and downs during Jordan Love’s first season as the starting quarterback, but he ultimately found his rhythm down the stretch and has played his best football when the Packers have needed it most. Over his final eight games, Love completed 70.3% of his passes for 2,150 yards and 18 touchdowns while only throwing one interception.

Dallas’ pass defense struggled down the stretch against prolific pass offenses, giving up at least 284 passing yards to the Seahawks, Lions and Dolphins from Thanksgiving on. With Love showing more confidence than ever, expect head coach and play-caller Matt LaFleur to put the game in his talented young quarterback’s hands on Sunday. See which team to pick here.

How to make Cowboys vs. Packers picks

The model has simulated Packers vs. Cowboys 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Under the point total and it also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Packers vs. Cowboys in the NFL playoffs 2024, and which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Packers vs. Cowboys spread you need to jump on Sunday, all from the model on a 183-129 roll on NFL picks, and find out.

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Author: CBS Sports Staff
January 14, 2024 | 10:48 am

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