The New Orleans Saints will hope to begin Week 7 of the 2023 NFL schedule with their fifth straight win in the series when they host the Jacksonville Jaguars on Thursday Night Football. New Orleans (3-3) is 5-2 all-time against Jacksonville, with its last defeat being a 20-19 road setback in 2003. The Jaguars (4-2), who are in the midst of a three-game winning streak, lost all three of their previous visits to the Big Easy. Both teams have question marks at quarterback, as Derek Carr is battling chest and shoulder injuries while Trevor Lawrence has a knee sprain.
Kickoff from Caesars Superdome is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. New Orleans is a two-point favorite in the latest Saints vs. Jaguars odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 40. Before making any Jaguars vs. Saints picks of your own, you need to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s Advanced Computer Model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 7 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 172-120 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 26-12 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has set its sights on Saints vs. Jaguars and just locked in its picks and Thursday Night Football predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Jags vs. Saints:
- Saints vs. Jaguars spread: New Orleans -2
- Saints vs. Jaguars over/under: 40 points
- Saints vs. Jaguars money line: New Orleans -128, Jacksonville +107
- NO: Saints are 0-4-1 against the spread as favorites this season
- JAX: Jaguars are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games
- Saints vs. Jaguars picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why the Saints can cover
New Orleans needs to get Rashid Shaheed more involved in the offense if it hopes to extend its winning streak against Jacksonville. The 25-year-old wideout hauled in nine passes over his first two games this season, but has made a total of seven catches in his last four contests. Shaheed, who recorded more than 80 yards in a game just once as a rookie last season, accomplished the feat for the second time in 2023 last week, as he had two receptions for 85 yards and a touchdown in a 20-13 loss at Houston.
Shaheed is fourth in the NFL with an average of 18.6 yards per reception this year, while Chris Olave leads the Saints with 32 catches and 414 yards. The 23-year-old Olave, who is dealing with a toe injury, has registered at least 86 receiving yards in four of his six games this season after amassing 96 on seven catches last week. New Orleans had six players with over 30 receiving yards against the Texans, while quarterback Derek Carr threw for 353 yards, the most he racked up in a game since recording 373 versus Dallas in Week 12 of the 2021 season while with Las Vegas. See which team to pick here.
Why the Jaguars can cover
Quarterback Trevor Lawrence had a season-low 181 passing yards against Indianapolis last Sunday, but made a pair of touchdown tosses for the first time since the opener. One of the scoring passes went to Christian Kirk, who leads Jacksonville with 384 yards on 33 receptions. The other was hauled in by Brenton Strange, a rookie tight end who has made four catches for 34 yards since being selected in the second round of the 2023 NFL Draft.
The Jaguars are 31st in the league against the pass (270.3 yards allowed) this season, but have been strong defending the run, as they rank third with an average of 75.3 yards allowed. The club limited Indianapolis to 44 yards on the ground last weekend, marking the fourth time it has kept opponents under 100 this year. Jacksonville also had four takeaways on Sunday, with cornerback Darious Williams and safety Andre Cisco each recording their NFL-leading third interception. See which team to pick here.
How to make Saints vs. Jaguars picks on TNF
SportsLine’s model is leaning over the point total, calling for 41 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the model’s TNF picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Saints vs. Jaguars on Thursday Night Football, and which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Jaguars vs. Saints spread you need to jump on, all from the model on a 172-120 roll on NFL picks, and find out.
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Author: CBS Sports Staff
October 19, 2023 | 9:35 am
