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Optimal NFL football knockout, survivor pool picks, strategy, advice for Week 6, 2023: Fade the Cowboys

Optimal NFL football knockout, survivor pool picks, strategy, advice for Week 6, 2023: Fade the Cowboys
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With six more underdogs winning outright in Week 5, anyone making NFL survivor pool picks saw their fields trimmed significantly yet again. In fact, more than 70% of participants have been eliminated before we’ve finished one-third of the season. The Bears were the biggest underdogs to win last week, and the Commanders falling short as six-point home favorites wiped out plenty of NFL knockout pool picks. However, if you leaned on a large favorite like the Dolphins, you skated to an easy win but now find yourself down a top team. Miami is once again a double-digit favorite, this time spotting Carolina 14 points at Hard Rock Stadium.Β 

If you’ve avoided using the Dolphins over the first five weeks of the season, is this the spot to use them in your NFL eliminator pool picks or should you look elsewhere on the NFL schedule? Before finalizing any Week 6 NFL survivor picks, see which team the red-hot SportsLine Projection Model just went all-in on.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 6 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 171-119 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 25-11 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 6 NFL odds and locked in its Week 6 survivor pool pick.Β You can only see who the model is backing this week at SportsLine.

Top Week 6 NFL survivor pool predictionsΒ 

For Week 6 of the 2023 NFL season, the model is shying away from the Cowboys, even though they are 2.5-point favorites over the Chargers. Dallas looked like one of the most dominant teams in the NFL early in the season, but a stunning upset as double-digit favorites against the Cardinals and a blowout loss last week to the 49ers has reframed the conversation.

The Cowboys gave up at least 400 yards of total offense in both contests and now will face a high-powered offense coming off a bye week. The Chargers rank seventh in the NFL in scoring offense (27.5 points per game) and fifth in total offense (388.7 yards per game) despite going three weeks without running back Austin Ekeler in the lineup.

Ekeler’s ankle appears to be on the mend and he’s in line to return to the lineup for Monday’s matchup. With Los Angeles coming in well rested and Dallas coming off an embarrassing defeat, the model doesn’t recommend taking any chances with the Cowboys as your Week 6 NFL survivor pool pick.Β See which team to pick here.

How to make Week 6 NFL survivor pool picksΒ 

Instead, the model is backing a team with plenty of recent success against its Week 6 opponent. The time to pick this team is now, andΒ you can only see the play over at SportsLine.

Which surprising team is a must-back in your Week 6 survivor pool? Visit SportsLine now to see which team carries you to victory in Week 6, all from the advanced computer model that consistently crushes the NFL and is up well over $7,000 since its inception.

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Author: CBS Sports Staff
October 14, 2023 | 10:20 am

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