The San Francisco 49ers will try to win their 15th straight regular season game when they host the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday Night Football at Levi’s Stadium. The 49ers (4-0) have not lost a regular season game since Week 7 of last season, when they fell 44-23 to the Chiefs. San Francisco’s 14-game regular season winning streak is the 14th longest in NFL history. The Cowboys (3-1) enter Sunday Night Football fresh off a decisive 38-3 win over New England. They are looking to get payback for the last two losses to the 49ers, who have knocked Dallas out of the playoffs the last two seasons.
Kickoff is at 8:20 p.m. ET. San Francisco is a 3.5-point favorite in the latest Cowboys vs. 49ers odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 45. Before you make any 49ers vs. Cowboys picks or NFL predictions, you need to see the NFL betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 5 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 168-118 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 22-10 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has zeroed in on 49ers vs. Cowboys and locked in another confident against-the-spread pick. You can see the model’s pick only at SportsLine. Now, here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Cowboys vs. 49ers:
- Cowboys vs. 49ers spread: San Francisco -3.5
- Cowboys vs. 49ers over/under: 45 points
- Cowboys vs. 49ers money line: San Francisco -186, Dallas +156
- SF: RB Christian McCaffrey leads the NFL in rushing yards (459)
- DAL: The defense leads the league in pressure rate (55%)
- Cowboys vs. 49ers picks: See picks here
- Cowboys vs. 49ers live stream: fubo (try for free)
Why the 49ers can cover
San Francisco has one of the top defenses in the league. The 49ers are giving up just 14.5 points per game, tied for third in the NFL. They also allow just 284.3 yards per game, which ranks fifth. The last time San Francisco met Dallas, in the divisional round of last season’s playoffs, the 49ers held the Cowboys to just 12 points and 282 yards of total offense in a 19-12 win.
In addition, quarterback Brock Purdy continues to play effectively. Since he made his first career start in Week 14 of last season, he leads the league in touchdown-to-interception ratio (16-2) and passer rating (117.1). This season alone, he has a passer rating of 115.1, the best in the NFL. See which team to pick here.
Why the Cowboys can cover
The defense has been elite at pressuring the quarterback this season. Led by Micah Parsons, Dallas has the best pressure rate (55%) by any NFL team in its first four games of a season since at least 2017. The Cowboys’ natural pressure rate (four or fewer pass rushers) of 52% also leads the league and is miles ahead of the next-best team, the Packers (39%).
The defense also has been strong at forcing turnovers. Dallas has generated 10 takeaways this season, tied for second in the NFL. The turnovers have helped the Cowboys score four non-offensive touchdowns this season, becoming the first team with four such scores through four games since the 2015 Cardinals. See which team to pick here.
How to make 49ers vs. Cowboys picks
Now, the model has broken down Cowboys vs. 49ers from every angle. The model is leaning Under the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 43 points. It also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations. You can see the model’s NFL picks and analysis only at SportsLine.
So who wins 49ers vs. Cowboys on Sunday Night Football, and which side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the 49ers vs. Cowboys spread you should jump on, all from the advanced model that is up more than $7,000 on top-rated NFL picks, and find out.
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Author: CBS Sports Staff
October 8, 2023 | 10:10 am
