Nine days ago, we took a look at the current betting market to put together a mock draft based solely on betting market logic — that is, slotting in the favorites for specific picks in the top five and doing our best the rest of the way to align on draft position over/unders, the position of first pick drafted for each team in the first round and other props found at DraftKings and FanDuel. Today, we’re making a final update to our betting market mock draft to see what has changed while also mixing in BetMGM and Caesars odds to help get a full picture of what sportsbooks are projecting with just over 24 hours left until Round 1 kicks off.
As always, things changed over the final days leading up to the draft, sometimes significantly. For starters, Mason Graham has gone from being the favorite to go No. 5 to the Jaguars to potentially no longer even being in the mix as Ashton Jeanty has moved into favorite status for the fifth pick. Jaxson Dart swung from being heavily favored to go Under 24.5 to -200 to go after the first 24 picks, and the slide appears to be on for Shedeur Sanders as well, with the quarterback who once was felt to be a top-10 lock now +280 to go in the first 10 picks at DraftKings.
Other perhaps less notable shifts include the second cornerback (behind Travis Hunter) tightening to close to neck-and-neck between Will Johnson and Jahdae Barron, with the latter going from a solid underdog to go inside the first 18 picks to -240 by Wednesday. The first tight end market has also tightened but not as considerably with Tyler Warren still a solid favorite to be the first off the board at around -400. Mike Green and Jihaad Campbell are two defenders initially expected to go in the teens who may be slipping, while Emeka Egbuka and Donovan Ezeiruaku both appear to be solidly in the first round at this point.
We’ll take all that into account as we go through the first round and look at what the betting market as a whole believes will happen on Thursday night.
For more draft coverage, you can hear in-depth analysis on “With the First Pick” — our NFL Draft podcast with analyst Ryan Wilson and former Titans general manager Ran Carthon. You can find “With the First Pick” wherever you get your podcasts: Apple Podcasts, Spotify, YouTube, etc. Listen to the latest episode below!
The 2025 NFL Draft is to take place from April 24-26 at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisconsin. More draft coverage can be found at CBSSports.com, including the weekly mock drafts and a regularly available look at the eligible prospects.
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Author: R.J. White
April 23, 2025 | 1:15 pm
