NFL

Steelers vs. Browns NFL props, Thursday Night Football picks, AI prediction: Russell Wilson tops 187.5 yards

by
SaC Bot
November 21, 2024

USATSI

Two teams at opposite ends of the AFC North standings will meet on Thursday Night Football when the Steelers (8-2) visit the Browns (2-8). The Steelers are 3.5-point favorites and the over-under is 36.5. Despite the contrasting success, both teams have plenty of players to target for Thursday Night Football props, including Jameis Winston, Russell Wilson and Nick Chubb. Winston, who threw three picks in his last home start, has an interceptions bar of 0.5 for Browns vs. Steelers. Expecting the veteran to be INT-free would result in a plus-money payout for this NFL prop bet of +150 at DraftKings.

Just five teams have more interceptions than Pittsburgh’s defense, and this will be the first time Winston has faced the Steelers. Backing Winston to go over 0.5 interceptions has NFL prop odds of -200. There are numerous factors that should influence your NFL props, from NFL player trends to expected game flow to injuries to Steelers vs. Browns weather. Before betting any NFL props for Thursday Night Football or entering NFL predictions on sites like PrizePicks, you need to see the Steelers vs. Browns NFL prop predictions powered by SportsLine’s AI PickBot.

Built using cutting-edge artificial intelligence and machine learning techniques by SportsLine’s Data Science team, AI Predictions and AI Ratings are generated for each player prop. The AI predictions are determined by statistically learning from each player’s historical data and then quantitatively evaluating the strength of the opponent’s defense by assigning a numeric value out of 100 called a matchup score.

Once a prediction is formulated, the AI rating is generated using the prediction, the matchup score, and the odds of the market. SportsLine’s AI PickBot has nailed 2,029 4.5- and 5-star prop picks since the start of last season. Anybody who followed those picks at their best sports betting app and betting sites was way up.

For Browns vs. Steelers NFL betting on Thursday Night Football, the AI PickBot has evaluated the NFL player prop odds and provided Steelers vs. Browns prop picks for every available prop market. You can only see the AI player prop predictions for Cleveland vs. Pittsburgh here.

Top NFL player prop bets for Browns vs. Steelers

After analyzing Steelers vs. Browns props and examining the dozens of NFL player prop markets, the AI PickBot says Steelers quarterback Wilson goes Over 187.5 passing yards (-117 on Caesars). This is a bar that Wilson has easily eclipsed in all four of his games this season, never having fewer than 195 yards in any. For the season, he’s averaging 235.5 passing yards per game, which is his most since the 2020 season. Cleveland will also contribute to Wilson hitting the Over since it possesses one of the weakest pass defenses in the NFL, even in wintry conditions on Lake Erie.

Cleveland is giving up a league-high 12.7 yards per completion, which should allow for many of those moon balls that have become a trademark of Wilson. The Browns also have just two interceptions on the season — second-fewest in the NFL — and Cleveland has seen many opposing quarterbacks feast off it. Each of the last three starting quarterbacks it has faced has had at least 248 passing yards, in addition to a combined six touchdown passes and no picks. Cleveland’s No. 1 total defense from 2023 has not shown up this season, as Wilson is projected to finish with 234.3 passing yards, giving value to the Over (-117). See more NFL props here.