Texans vs. Cowboys odds, line, spread, prediction, time: Monday Night Football picks by NFL model on 17-7 run

The Houston Texans (6-4) will visit the Dallas Cowboys (3-6) on Monday Night Football to conclude the Week 11 NFL schedule. Both teams are on losing streaks going into this game. Dallas has dropped four straight and were blown out by the Philadelphia Eagles last week, 34-6. Meanwhile, the Texans have lost two games in a row. Last Sunday, Houston fell to the Detroit Lions, 26-23, on a 52-yard field goal as time expired. Cooper Rush is expected to remain the starting quarterback for Dallas with Dak Prescott (hamstring) now out for the season. 

Kickoff from AT&T Stadium in Dallas is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. Houston is a seven-point favorite in the latest Texans vs. Cowboys odds from SportsLine Consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 41.5. The Texans are -353 money-line favorites (risk $353 to win $100), while the Cowboys are +283 underdogs (risk $100 to win $283). Before locking in any Cowboys vs. Texans picks, make sure to check out the NFL predictions and Monday Night Football betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 11 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 17-7 betting hot streak on top-rated NFL picks this year. Longer term, it is on a 197-136 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season and a 51-29 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps has seen strong returns.

Now, the model has simulated Texans vs. Cowboys 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NFL picks and Week 11 betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NFL odds and NFL betting lines for Cowboys vs. Texans:

• Texans vs. Cowboys spread: Houston -7
• Texans vs. Cowboys over/under: 41.5 points
• Texans vs. Cowboys money line: Houston -353, Dallas +283
• HOU: Texans are 4-5-1 against the spread this season 
• DAL: Cowboys are 2-7 against the spread this season
• Texans vs. Cowboys picks: See picks at SportsLine
• Texans vs. Cowboys streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)

Why the Texans can cover

Quarterback C.J. Stroud is seventh in the NFL in passing yards (2,371) and tied for 10th in passing touchdowns (12). Dallas is allowing 362.9 passing yards per game, which ranks 26th in the league.

Running back Joe Mixon brings explosiveness and power to the ground game. Mixon has plenty of vision and will have a chance to dominate against a Dallas run defense ranked 31st in the league (152.1 rushing yards allowed). The 28-year-old has 655 rushing yards, 159 receiving yards and eight total touchdowns. He has five games with at least 100 rushing yards. See who to back at SportsLine.

Why the Cowboys can cover

Receiver CeeDee Lamb is the Cowboys’ top playmaker. The Oklahoma product is fifth in the NFL in catches (59) and seventh in receiving yards (681) with four touchdowns. Lamb has seven games in 2024 with at least 60 receiving yards. In the Oct. 27 win over the 49ers, he logged 13 catches, 146 receiving yards and two touchdowns.

Defensively, linebacker Micah Parsons returned to the field last week and gives Dallas a game-wrecker. Parsons flies off the line and can generate pressure on the quarterback. This season, he has 16 total tackles and three sacks. Last week against the Eagles, he had two sacks and one forced fumble. Houston is third in the league in sacks allowed (35). See who to back at SportsLine.

How to make Texans vs. Cowboys picks

The model just simulated Cowboys vs. Texans 10,000 times. SportsLine’s model is leaning Over the total, projecting 45 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread cashes over 50% of the time. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s picks. 

So who wins Cowboys vs. Texans on Monday Night Football, and which side of the spread cashes in more than 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Cowboys vs. Texans spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $7,000 on top-rated NFL picks, and find out.