2024 Week 11 NFL score predictions, game picks, odds: Model gives exact scores from 10,000 simulations

After winning four of their first six games of the season, the Chicago Bears have lost three straight, most recently suffering a 19-3 defeat at home against the New England Patriots. Chicago will try to get back in the win column when the Bears host the Green Bay Packers on Sunday for a heated NFC North rivalry. The Bears are a 5.5-point underdog at home according to the latest Week 11 NFL odds. Other Week 11 NFL lines include Ravens vs. Steelers (+3, 48.5), Chiefs vs. Bills (-2.5, 46) and Bengals vs. Chargers (-1.5, 48). If you’re looking for an avenue to have a high return on your sports betting investment, nailing Week 11 NFL score predictions can be highly profitable. 

Making NFL score predictions on all 14 Week 11 games can help form not only NFL spread picks, but also NFL over/under picks, NFL parlay picks, and even your NFL survivor strategy and NFL office pool picks. Which Week 11 NFL games will be lopsided, and which ones will play out closer to their NFL betting odds? Before you make any Week 11 NFL picks, make sure you see what SportsLine’s advanced computer model has to say. 

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 11 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 17-7 betting hot streak on top-rated NFL picks this year. Longer term, it is on a 197-136 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season and a 51-29 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps has seen strong returns at their best sports betting app.

Now, the model has simulated every Week 11 game 10,000 times. You can only see the model’s Week 11 NFL exact score predictions at SportsLine.

Top Week 11 NFL picks

After diving into every game on the Week 11 NFL schedule, the model is backing the Minnesota Vikings (-6, 39.5) to beat the Tennessee Titans, 22-18, on the road. The Titans have struggled in recent weeks, losing four of their last five games. Tennessee’s offense has been stagnant during that stretch, failing to score more than 20 points in any of those five games. On Sunday, the Titans will square off against one of the league’s stingiest defenses.

The Vikings enter Sunday’s showdown giving up just 17.4 points per game, the third-fewest in the NFL. In last week’s 12-7 win over the Jaguars, Minnesota’s defense held Jacksonville to 143 total yards while recording three sacks and two interceptions. In addition, the Vikings have won six of the past eight meetings between these two teams. SportsLine’s model projects Vikings quarterback Sam Darnold will throw for 229 yards and 1.57 touchdowns, while Minnesota’s defense racks up 4.03 sacks on average. See the model’s other Week 11 NFL score predictions at SportsLine. 

How to make Week 11 NFL score predictions

In addition, the model has locked in exact score predictions for this week’s biggest matchups including Chiefs vs. Bills, Ravens vs. Steelers and Bengals vs. Chargers. It’s also calling for a hefty home underdog to win outright, shocking the NFL. Nailing these results is key to making profitable Week 11 NFL picks. You can only see them at SportsLine. 

Who wins each Week 11 NFL game, and which upset shocks the NFL? Visit SportsLine now to get the model’s NFL Week 11 score predictions, all from the model on a 197-136 roll on top-rated NFL picks, and find out.