Longtime AFC West rivals are set to square off when the Denver Broncos (2-2) host the Las Vegas Raiders (2-2) on Sunday at Empower Field at Mile High. Denver is 0-1 at home, while Las Vegas is 1-1 on the road. The Broncos are coming off a 10-9 win over Aaron Rodgers and the New York Jets in Week 4. The Broncos have been one of the top defensive teams in the NFL this season, ranking second in total yards allowed (256.5) and third in points allowed per game (13.8). The Raiders are coming off a 20-16 win over the Cleveland Browns. Davante Adams (hamstring) has been ruled out for Las Vegas.
Kickoff in Denver is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET. The Broncos are favored by 3 points in the latest Broncos vs. Raiders odds from SportsLine consensus, and the over/under is 36 points. Before locking in any Raiders vs. Broncos picks, you’ll want to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from the proven computer simulation model at SportsLine.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 5 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 188-131 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 42-23 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022. The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
The model has set its sights on Broncos vs. Raiders and just locked in its picks and NFL Week 5 predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for the spread, money line and over/under:
- Broncos vs. Raiders spread: Broncos -3
- Broncos vs. Raiders over/under: 36 points
- Broncos vs. Raiders money line: Broncos -153, Raiders +129
- Broncos vs. Raiders picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Broncos vs. Raiders streaming: FuboTV (try for free)
Why the Broncos can cover
After suffering through two ugly losses to open the season, the Broncos won two straight road games over upper echelon NFL teams. In Week 3, Denver beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 26-7, and in Week 4 the Broncos beat the New York Jets 10-9. The Broncos are also 3-1 against the spread this season.
The main reason for the Broncos recent turnaround has been the play of their defense. Led by defensive coordinator Vance Joseph, the Denver defense ranks near the top of the NFL in most major statistics. They enter Week 5 ranked second in total yards allowed per game (256.5), and third in passing yards allowed per game (146.0) and points allowed per game (13.8). See which team to pick here.
Why the Raiders can cover
The Raiders have won eight straight games against the Broncos. The Raiders have been streaky on the defensive side of the ball in 2024, but they do have one of the league’s best groups of pass rushers. All-Pro Maxx Crosby (3.0 sacks) is a NFL Defensive Player of the Year candidate, though he is questionable with an ankle injury. If he’s limited or can’t go, his supporting cast including Charles Snowden, Christian Wilkins and Tyree Wilson, is strong.
The Raiders have also been streaky on the offensive side of the ball, but remain a group that is capable of erupting on any given Sunday. Rookie tight end Brock Bowers has the look of a future All-Pro. The first-round pick out of Georgia has 20 catches for 216 yards through four games. See which team to pick here.
How to make Raiders vs. Broncos picks
The model has simulated Broncos vs. Raiders 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over on the point total, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that hits in well over 50% of simulations.. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Broncos vs. Raiders in Week 5, and which side of the spread cashes well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Raiders vs. Broncos spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $7,000 on top-rated NFL picks, and find out.
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Author: CBS Sports Staff
October 5, 2024 | 7:45 am
