NFL

NFL odds, Vegas lines, picks, spreads, game predictions: Model high on Browns and Bengals in Week 3, 2024

by
SaC Bot
September 22, 2024

USATSI

The Week 3 NFL schedule includes a pair of battles between unbeatens, two divisional-rivalry games, and seven games with NFL spreads of a field goal or less. The Cowboys and Ravens began the season as Super Bowl contenders and are coming off disappointing losses, so both will feel like they need a win in a head-to-head battle on Sunday. Baltimore is a 1-point road favorite in the Week 3 NFL odds despite the fact that they’re 0-2 while Dallas is 1-1.

Meanwhile, the Lions and Cardinals are 1-1 and have a chance to make a statement in an important NFC matchup later in the day. The Lions are 3-point road favorites according to the latest Week 3 NFL lines via the SportsLine Consensus. All of the Week 3 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine’s advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and NFL predictions you need to make the best Week 3 NFL picks now.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on A-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 3 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 187-130 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 41-22 roll on A-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of the 2022 NFL season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 3 NFL odds and NFL betting lines on the spread, money line, and over-under, and locked in picks for every NFL matchup. Head here to see every pick.

Top Week 3 NFL predictions

We can tell you one of the model’s strongest Week 3 NFL picks is that the Browns (-6.5, 38.5) cover the spread versus the Giants. Both teams have looked offensively challenged early in the year but it’s likely to be Cleveland’s defense that will give the Browns the edge in this matchup. They led the NFL in total defense last season and they’ve been excellent at getting off the field on third downs early in 2024.

Opponents are only 7-of-23 on third-down conversions over the first two games. The Cleveland defense had four different players register sacks in an 18-13 win over the Jaguars last week and Myles Garrett has a sack in each of his last three regular-season games. Expect Jim Schwartz to dial up plenty of pressure on Daniel Jones in Week 3, which is a big reason why the model has Cleveland covering in nearly 60% of simulations. See which other teams to pick here.

Another one of its Week 3 NFL predictions: the Bengals (-7.5, 47) cover versus the Commanders. Washington is coming off a 21-18 win over the Giants where it became the first team in NFL history to win in regulation despite giving up three touchdowns and failing to score one of its own. However, the Commanders are still only 2-7 against the spread over their last nine games and they’re 5-15 straight up in their last 20 appearances on Monday Night Football.

Meanwhile, the Bengals are 0-2 on the season but covered the spread as 6.5-point underdogs in Kansas City last week, losing on a last-second field goal by Harrison Butker. They’re 4-1-1 against the number in their last six Monday night home games. Joe Burrow outplayed Patrick Mahomes last week and he should give Cincinnati a clear quarterback edge against fellow LSU Heisman Trophy winner Jayden Daniels. That’s a big reason why the model says the Bengals cover in well over 50% of simulations. See which other teams to pick here.

How to make Week 3 NFL picks

The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other game on the Week 3 NFL schedule and just revealed three must-see underdogs who win outright, potentially giving you a huge payday. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.

So what NFL picks can you make with confidence, and which three must-see underdogs should you lock in now? Check out the latest NFL odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned well over $7,000, and find out.