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Jets vs. Patriots odds, prediction, time: NFL picks, Thursday Night Football bets from model on 41-22 run

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Two teams looking for success will meet in a key AFC East battle when the New England Patriots take on the New York Jets on Thursday Night Football. New York snapped a 15-game losing streak to New England in their last matchup on January 7, earning a 17-3 win. The Patriots (1-1), who have failed to reach the postseason in their last two seasons, were just 2-4 against divisional foes last year. The Jets (1-1), whose playoff drought has reached 13 seasons entering 2024, were also 2-4 against the AFC East.

Kickoff from MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, N.J., is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. The Jets are six-point favorites in the latest Patriots vs. Jets odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 38.5. Before making any Jets vs. Patriots picks, be sure to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 3 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 187-130 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 41-22 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.    

Now, the model has set its sights on Patriots vs. Jets and just locked in its picks and NFL predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NFL odds and NFL betting lines for the spreadmoney line and over/under for Jets vs. Patriots: 

  • Jets vs. Patriots spread: New York Jets -6
  • Jets vs. Patriots over/under: 38.5 points
  • Jets vs. Patriots money line: New England +222, New York Jets -272
  • NE: Patriots are 8-10 on the road over their last 18 games
  • NYJ: Jets are 7-10 at home since the start of 2022
  • Jets vs. Patriots picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why you should back the Jets

Rookie running back Braelon Allen became the youngest player in over four decades to score a touchdown on Sunday, when he rushed for one touchdown and caught another in New York’s 24-17 win over Tennessee. In two games so far this season, Allen has carried eight times for 41 yards (5.1 average) with one touchdown and one explosive run of 20 yards. He has three receptions for 32 yards. In three seasons at Wisconsin, he carried 597 times for 3,494 yards (5.9 average) and 35 touchdowns. The Jets grabbed him in the fourth round of the 2024 NFL Draft.

Leading the rushing attack is veteran Breece Hall. He has carried 30 times for 116 yards (3.9 average) and one touchdown this season, converting three first downs. In three seasons with the Jets, he has played in 26 games, carrying 333 times for 1,573 yards (4.7 average) and 10 touchdowns. He nearly reached 1,000 yards rushing last year, falling just short with 994 yards. See which team to pick here.

Why you should back the Patriots

Ninth-year veteran quarterback Jacoby Brissett leads New England’s passing attack. In two starts, he has completed 30 of 51 passes (58.8%) for 270 yards and one touchdown. A third-round pick by the Patriots in 2016, he spent just one season with New England before returning this offseason. In 81 career games, Brissett has completed 61.2% of his passes for 10,844 yards, 52 touchdowns and 23 interceptions. 

Brissett’s top target in the passing game has been tight end Hunter Henry. The eight-year veteran has 10 receptions for 127 yards, including a long of 35 yards. He is in his fourth season with New England. In 14 games with the Patriots in 2023, he caught 42 passes for 419 yards and six touchdowns. For his career, which began in 2016 in San Diego, he has played in 105 games and caught 339 passes for 3,980 yards (11.7 average) and 38 touchdowns. See which team to pick here.

How to make Patriots vs. Jets picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Under on the total, projecting 36 combined points. It has also generated an against-the-spread pick that hits in well over 50% of simulations. You can only get the NFL model’s picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Patriots vs. Jets, and which side of the spread cashes in well over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Patriots vs. Jets spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up well over $7,000 on its NFL picks, and find out.

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Author: CBS Sports Staff
September 19, 2024 | 10:50 am

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