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2024 Week 3 NFL picks, odds, best bets from advanced model: This five-way football parlay would pay out 25-1

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There being two Monday Night Football games this week, which means there are tailor-made Week 3 NFL parlay picks. The Jaguars will visit the Bills at 7:30 p.m. ET, followed by the Bengals hosting the Commanders at 8:15 p.m. ET. With the combination of Week 3 NFL picks against the spread, NFL money line picks, and NFL over-under picks, there are many different routes you can take to find a winning combination.

The two home teams are favored with Buffalo laying five points in the Week 3 NFL odds, while Cincinnati is a 7.5-point favorite. All four teams competing on MNF are 1-1 against the spread this season, so that won’t help you in making NFL parlay bets. Which NFL betting trends and tendencies will give teams clear advantages for your NFL predictions? Before you make any Week 3 NFL picks or NFL parlays, be sure to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 3 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 187-130 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 41-22 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has scoured the Week 3 NFL odds and locked in five confident NFL best bets. If you successfully parlay its picks, you’d be looking at a massive payout of around 25-1. You can only see the model’s Week 3 NFL picks at SportsLine.

Top Week 3 NFL picks

After simulating every game 10,000 times, the model is high on the Seattle Seahawks (-4.5) cover at home against the Miami Dolphins. The Dolphins are reeling, both in terms of the spread and with their personnel. They’ve lost five straight games against the spread dating back to last year’s regular season and playoffs. Four of those contests were straight-up defeats as well, with each coming by at least a touchdown. However, the biggest loss for Miami comes with the latest injury to QB Tua Tagovailoa.

Miami is 1-5 outright since 2022 in games in which Tagaovailoa plays under 50% of snaps. Backup Skylar Thompson has three career starts, but he failed to throw a TD in two of them and was picked off twice in the other. Seattle will be able to load the box without a threatening QB, and that spells trouble for Miami which ranks 24th in yards per rush after being first last year. Additionally, Seattle already boasts the No. 2 scoring defense, so Miami may have struggled through the air even if Tagovailoa was under center. Add all of this up, and SportsLine’s model has the Seahawks covering in nearly 60% of simulations. See which other NFL parlay picks to make here.  

How to make Week 3 NFL parlays

The model also jumped on four other NFL matchups where it says the line is way off, including a home underdog that covers the spread in well over 60% of simulations, defying oddsmakers everywhere. You can only see the model’s NFL Week 3 best bets and parlay at SportsLine.  

What are the model’s top Week 3 NFL picks, and which other NFL matchups should you target for a strong 25-1 payout? Visit SportsLine now to see the Week 3 NFL best bets from a model on an 187-130 run on top-rated picks, and find out.

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Author: CBS Sports Staff
September 19, 2024 | 10:15 am

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