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Lions vs. Rams odds, line, spread, prediction: Sunday Night Football picks by NFL model on 181-129 roll

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An NFC showdown in Week 1 features the Los Angeles Rams visiting the Detroit Lions on Sunday Night Football. This will be the rematch of a Wild Card battle that took place at Ford Field in January. The Lions narrowly defeated the Rams, 24-23, the first game for both Matthew Stafford and Jared Goff against their former clubs. In 2023, the Lions went 14-6 against the spread, the best ATS record in the NFL. Meanwhile, the Rams were 11-6-1 against the spread last season. 

Kickoff from Ford Field in Detroit is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. Detroit is a 4.5-point favorite in the latest Rams vs. Lions odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 52.5. Before locking in any Lions vs. Rams picks, make sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 181-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 35-21 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has simulated Rams vs. Lions 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NFL picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NFL odds and NFL betting lines on the spread, money line and over/under for Lions vs. Rams:

  • Lions vs. Rams spread: Detroit -4.5
  • Lions vs. Rams over/under: 52.5 points
  • Lions vs. Rams money line: Lions -209, Rams +174
  • DET: Lions have covered the spread in 16 of their last 21 games
  • LAR: Rams are 13-5-2 ATS in their past 20 games played in September
  • Rams vs. Lions picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why the Lions can cover

The Lions have an explosive and loaded offense. Last season, Detroit was ranked third in the league in total offense (394.8), second in pass offense (258.9), and fifth in rushing offense (135.9). In addition, the Lions were third in the NFL in scoring offense with 27.1 points per game.

Quarterback Jared Goff does a strong job distributing the ball to get multiple players involved. The California product stays in the pocket and delivers darts. He finished the season second in passing yards (4,575), fourth in passing touchdowns (30), and 11th in QBR (60.3). He threw for at least 300 yards in five games. In the Wild Card win over the Rams, he went 22-of-27 for 277 yards and one passing score. See who to back at SportsLine.

Why the Rams can cover

The Rams also have an effective and consistent offensive unit. Last year, they were seventh in total offense (359.3), 10th in passing offense (239), and eighth in points per game (23.8). Quarterback Matthew Stafford owns a rocket of an arm with the ability to thread the needle. Last year, the two-time Pro Bowl selection was 11th in both passing yards (3,965) and passing touchdowns (24). 

Wide receiver Puka Nacua took over as a rookie and made a massive statement that he’s one of the best at his position. Nacua wins at all three levels on the field with sticky hands to reel in anything. He finished the campaign ranked ninth in receptions (105) and fourth in receiving yards (1,486) with six touchdowns. In the Wild Card loss to the Lions, Nacua notched nine catches for 181 yards and one touchdown. See who to back at SportsLine.

How to make Rams vs. Lions picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over the total, projecting the teams to combine for 53 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. Head to SportsLine to see its NFL picks

So who wins Rams vs. Lions on Sunday Night Football, and which side of the spread cashes well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Rams vs. Lions spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $7,000 on top-rated NFL picks, and find out.

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Author: CBS Sports Staff
September 7, 2024 | 11:50 am

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