The Washington Commanders usher in a new era on Sunday when they hit the road to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in a Week 1 matchup. The Commanders are coming off a 4-13 season in 2023, and will be playing for a new head coach in Dan Quinn. 2023 Heisman Trophy winner Jayden Daniels, the No. 2 overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft, is taking over as the team’s starting quarterback. The Bucs are looking to build off their 9-8 overall record and NFC South championship in 2023. Washington leads the all-time series 13-12.
Kickoff is scheduled at 4:25 p.m. ET on Sunday at Raymond James Stadium. The Buccaneers are favored by 3 points in the latest Buccaneers vs. Commanders odds via SportsLine consensus, and the over/under is 43.5 points. Before locking in any Buccaneers vs. Commanders picks, you’ll want to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from the proven computer simulation model at SportsLine.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 181-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 35-21 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022. The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
The model has set its sights on Commanders vs. Buccaneers and just locked in its picks and NFL Week 1 predictions. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NFL betting lines for the game:
- Buccaneers vs. Commanders spread: Buccaneers -3
- Buccaneers vs. Commanders over/under: 43.5 points
- Buccaneers vs. Commanders money line: Buccaneers -174, Commanders +146
- Buccaneers vs. Commanders picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why the Buccaneers can cover
The Buccaneers are a veteran team that is coming off a surprise run to the Divisional Round of the NFC playoffs. Quarterback Baker Mayfield revived his career in 2023 — his first season in Tampa Bay. The veteran signal caller threw for 4,044 yards, 28 touchdowns, and 10 interceptions.
Tampa Bay also has a pair of veteran wide receivers that could give Washington’s defense fits. Mike Evans has gone over 1,000 yards in each of his 10 NFL seasons, and remains a dominant red zone threat. Chris Godwin has gone over 1,000 yards in four of the last five season, and like Evans, is a physically imposing presence in the red zone. See which team to pick here.
Why the Commanders can cover
The Commanders have the advantage of the unknown in this matchup. Offensive coordinator Kliff Kingsbury is known for running high-powered offenses, and rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels was one of the most productive quarterbacks in college football history. Tampa Bay will have to adjust to Kingsbury’s play-calling on the fly.
Despite being in rebuilding mode, Washington still has one of the premier defensive lines in the NFL. Veterans Daron Payne and Jonathan Allen form arguably the best defensive tackle duo in the NFL, and defensive end Clelin Ferrell is a former first round pick. Offseason addition Bobby Wagner solidified the middle linebacker position for Dan Quinn’s defense. See which team to pick here.
How to make Buccaneers vs. Commanders picks
The model has simulated Buccaneers vs. Commanders 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that hits in well over 60% of simulation. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Buccaneers vs. Commanders in Week 1, and which side of the spread cashes well over 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Commanders vs. Buccaneers spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $7,000 on top-rated NFL picks, and find out.
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Author: Scout Staff
September 7, 2024 | 7:10 am
