Week 1 NFL player props, QB, RB, WR betting picks, AI prop predictions: Jonathan Taylor under 74.5 yards

Fans everywhere looking to get in the action have a plethora of ways to make Week 1 NFL picks. In addition to picking the winner of every game, fans can take a deep dive into the Week 1 NFL player props. NFL prop picks are based on how a certain player will perform. For instance, Lions quarterback Jared Goff’s passing total for Sunday night’s showdown against the Rams is 263.5. Will Goff cash his Week 1 NFL prop bets, or will he fall short and finish with 263 passing yards or fewer?

There is plenty of value in the NFL prop picks available in the latest Week 1 NFL odds. With sites like DraftKings, FanDuel, PrizePicks, Underdog Fantasy, Sleeper Fantasy, and more offering tons of games centering on Week 1 NFL player props, you’ll want to check out the top Week 1 player props and NFL prop predictions from the SportsLine AI PickBot. 

Built using cutting-edge artificial intelligence and machine learning techniques by SportsLine’s Data Science team, AI Predictions and AI Ratings are generated for each game. The AI predictions are determined by statistically learning from each team’s historical data then quantitatively evaluating the strength of the opponent’s defense by assigning a numeric value out of 100 called a matchup score.

Once a prediction is formulated, the AI rating is generated using the prediction, the matchup score, and the odds of the market. For example, you could see a 5-star rating on an over bet if a team is facing a poor defense, their prediction differs from the line and there are favorable odds.

In addition, SportsLine AI is the first fully automated predictive model at SportsLine. It continuously refreshes on the most recent available data and can help you spot the biggest discrepancies in the lines. Last season, SportsLine’s AI PickBot hit a whopping 1,674 4.5- and 5-star prop picks. Anyone who has followed those NFL picks is way up.

For NFL Week 1, the AI PickBot has evaluated the NFL player prop odds and provided prop picks for every position and every available prop market. You can only see the AI player prop predictions for NFL Week 1 at SportsLine.

Top Week 1 QB, RB, WR player prop picks

Here’s a look at some of the top Week 1 NFL prop picks from SportsLine AI: 

Quarterback: Derek Carr, New Orleans Saints: 230.5 passing yards

Carr enters his second season with the Saints with a much better understanding of the personnel and offensive system. In his first season in New Orleans, Carr completed 68.4% of his passes for 3,878 yards, 25 touchdowns and eight interceptions. He was much better late in the season, finishing with a sparkling 14:2 TD:INT ratio over his last five contests. Carr also threw for 305 yards in New Orleans’ season-opening victory against the Titans last season, a big reason why SportsLine AI expects him to finish with 276.6 passing yards on Sunday, comfortably going over the posted total of 230.5. The pick: Over 230.5 passing yards (-109). 
See more NFL props here.  

Running Back: Jonathan Taylor, Indianapolis Colts: 74.5 rushing yards

Taylor has had trouble staying healthy in recent years and he’s coming off his worst season as a professional. In 2023, Taylor recorded 169 rushing attempts for 741 yards and seven rushing touchdowns. He averaged just 4.4 yards per carry, the lowest of his career. He also struggled early in the season, finishing with 75 or fewer rushing yards in five of his first six games in 2023. On Sunday, Taylor and the Colts will square off against a Texans defense that gave up just 96.6 rushing yards per game last season, the sixth-best mark in the NFL. The AI PickBot is projecting Taylor will finish with 58.5 rushing yards in Week 1. The pick: Under 74.5 rushing yards (-115). See more NFL props here.  

Wide Receiver: Justin Jefferson, Minnesota Vikings: 83.5 receiving yards

Jefferson will enter the season as Sam Darnold’s undisputed No. 1 receiving threat and he’s expected to be heavily involved in Minnesota’s game plan when the Vikings take on the Giants on Sunday. However, Jefferson will likely see a lot of double teams as New York’s secondary looks to take away Minnesota’s big-play threat. The Giants feature a disruptive front seven on defense and Jefferson finished with 85 or fewer receiving yards in three of his final four games on the road last season. The AI PickBot is projecting Jefferson will be held in check against the Giants as he finishes with 66.8 receiving yards. The pick: Under 83.5 receiving yards (-108). See more NFL props here. 

How to make Week 1 NFL prop bets

In addition, the AI PickBot has also locked in confident Week 1 NFL prop picks involving Alvin Kamara, Deshaun Watson and Michael Pittman. It’s also identified a star quarterback who sails past his total and has 12 other NFL props rated 4.5 stars or better. You must see the AI PickBot’s analysis before making any NFL Week prop bets.

Which NFL prop bets should you target for Week 1, and which star quarterback sails past his posted total? Visit SportsLine now to see the top Week 1 NFL props, all from the SportsLine AI PickBot that nailed 1,674 top-rated picks last season.