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Top NFL football knockout, survivor pool picks, advice, strategy for 2024 Week 1: Fade this home favorite

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The Bears went just 7-10 last season, but they ended on a streak that could make them popular Week 1 NFL survivor pool picks. The Bears won their last five home games of 2023 and will open the new NFL season in Chicago versus the Titans. The Bears weren’t just scraping by either, as four of the five wins were by double-digits and their average margin of victory was 13.4 points. Can you count on Caleb Williams to keep the run alive and trust Chicago in Week 1 NFL knockout pool picks?

The Titans have won four of their last five road games in the Windy City. Overanalyzing the stats will leave you with both pros and cons to backing just about every team with your Week 1 NFL survivor pick. That’s why having the optimal advice for NFL eliminator picks is crucial. Before finalizing any Week 1 NFL survivor picks, see which team the red-hot SportsLine Projection Model just went all-in on.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 181-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 35-21 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.Β 

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 1 NFL odds and locked in its Week 1 survivor pool pick.Β You can only see who the model is backing this week at SportsLine.

Top Week 1 NFL survivor pool predictionsΒ 

In Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season, the model is shying away from the Miami Dolphins, even though they’re coming off an 11-6 season and are favored over a Jaguars team that went 9-8 and missed the playoffs. Being a road dog is a comfortable position for Jacksonville as it is 4-1 straight-up over its last five games as an away underdog. Additionally, the Jags cemented their road warriors status last season when they won their first six games of the year outside of Jacksonville.

They would end up losing their last three away from EverBank Stadium, but those three coincided with Trevor Lawrence being hurt. The Jaguars had a better road record than home record last season, while Miami ended the year in a tailspin. It lost its last three, with an average margin of defeat of 21 points. Add in that Tua Tagovailoa is 0-2 in his football career against Lawrence, and there are too many red flags to back Miami in Week 1 NFL survivor.Β See which team to pick instead here.

How to make Week 1 NFL survivor pool picksΒ 

Instead, the model is backing a surprising home team that wins outright in almost 80% of simulations. The time to pick this team is now, andΒ you can only see the play over at SportsLine.

Which surprising team is a must-back in your Week 1 survivor pool? Visit SportsLine now to see which team carries you to victory in Week 1, all from the advanced computer model that consistently crushes the NFL and is up well over $7,000 since its inception.

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Author: CBS Sports Staff
September 3, 2024 | 10:10 am

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