Connect with us

NFL

Optimal NFL football knockout, survivor pool picks, advice, strategy for 2024 Week 1: Fade this home favorite

USATSI

There are a variety of football games to choose from each year, but NFL survivor pools are one of the oldest and most popular. Contestants simply need to pick one team to win each week, with the caveat being that teams can only be used once during the season. Getting off to a strong start with your Week 1 NFL survivor pool picks is crucial, especially when there are unknowns surrounding so many teams. Cincinnati is the heaviest favorite in the Week 1 NFL odds, listed at -8.5 against New England, so the Bengals could be the most popular Week 1 NFL survivor pick.

However, an upset could knock out a large chunk of NFL eliminator pool picks. Are the Bengals a team you should back or fade with your Week 1 NFL survivor strategy? Before finalizing any Week 1 NFL survivor picks, see which team the red-hot SportsLine Projection Model just went all-in on.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 181-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 35-21 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.Β 

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 1 NFL odds and locked in its Week 1 survivor pool pick.Β You can only see who the model is backing this week at SportsLine.

Top Week 1 NFL survivor pool predictionsΒ 

In Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season, the model is shying away from the Miami Dolphins, even though they’re coming off an 11-6 season and are favored over a Jaguars team that went 9-8 and missed the playoffs. The Dolphins have been without their top three wide receivers in preseason games due to injuries sustained during practice. Veteran Odell Beckham Jr. (undisclosed) has already been ruled out for this game, while Jaylen Waddle (undisclosed) and Tyreek Hill (hand) are both questionable.

The Dolphins lost four of their final six games last season, and their current injury situation will not make it easy to get off to a strong start in Week 1. Additionally, Jacksonville has been a dangerous road team over the past two seasons, covering the spread in nine of its last 12 road games. There are multiple factors that point to this being a potential upset, so the model recommends going in another direction with Week 1 survivor picks.Β See which team to pick here.

How to make Week 1 NFL survivor pool picksΒ 

Instead, the model is backing a surprising home team that wins outright in almost 80% of simulations. The time to pick this team is now, andΒ you can only see the play over at SportsLine.

Which surprising team is a must-back in your Week 1 survivor pool? Visit SportsLine now to see which team carries you to victory in Week 1, all from the advanced computer model that consistently crushes the NFL and is up well over $7,000 since its inception.

Go to Source
Author: CBS Sports Staff
August 31, 2024 | 9:16 am

Click to comment

Leave a Reply

More in NFL