The Championship Round NFL schedule is set for Sunday with two berths for Super Bowl 58 on the line. In the AFC, MVP winners Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson will match up, while in the NFC, former No. 1 overall pick Jared Goff will share the field with Mr. Irrelevant Brock Purdy. Ravens vs. Chiefs has Baltimore as 3.5-point favorites, according to the latest Championship Round NFL odds, while 49ers vs. Lions sees San Francisco favored by 6.5 points at home.
Many will make 2024 NFL playoffs picks and Championship Round NFL parlay picks based on the quarterbacks they trust the most. Mahomes has the most experience at this stage of the four QBs, while Jackson has the least. Backing Mahomes and the Chiefs to cover is one thing, but should you also pick Kansas City to win outright with your Championship Round NFL predictions? Before you make any 2024 Championship Round NFL picks or NFL parlays, be sure to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model entered the 2024 NFL playoffs on an incredible 183-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 37-21 roll on top-rated picks since Week 7 of last season and has nailed seven straight top-rated picks entering the 2024 NFL playoffs.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has locked in four confident NFL best bets for the 2024 NFL Championship Round. If you successfully parlay its picks, you’d be looking at a payout of over 12-1. You can only see the model’s 2024 Championship Round NFL picks at SportsLine.
Top 2024 Championship Round NFL picks
After simulating every game 10,000 times, the model is high on the Over (44.5) in the 2024 AFC Championship Game of Chiefs vs. Ravens. This will be the first postseason meeting between Mahomes and Jackson, but they’ve met four times previously in the regular season. All four have lit up the scoreboard as those games averaged 59.3 total points. Each of the four saw at least 51 total points scored, and the last meeting between the two in 2021 saw 71 total points in a 36-35 Baltimore victory.
None of those games featured a Ravens offense as balanced as this one. Baltimore ranks in the top four in points scored, rushing yards, yards per carry, TD-INT ratio and yards per pass attempt. It can find the endzone in multiple different ways instead of being overly reliant on Jackson in the past. Meanwhile, the Chiefs offense, which sputtered all year, found its groove just in time. Taking away a meaningless Week 18 game, Kansas City has scored 25-plus points in each of its last three games.
The model says the teams combine for 45 points, so you can confidently lock that in as a key part of your Championship Round NFL parlay picks. See which other NFL parlay picks to make here.
How to make 2024 Championship Round NFL parlays
The model also jumped on the other three 2024 Championship Round NFL picks, including a team it expects to cover with ease. You can only see the model’s 2024 NFL Championship Round best bets and parlay at SportsLine.
What are the model’s top 2024 NFL Championship Round picks and which NFL matchups should you target for a hefty payout of over 12-1? Visit SportsLine now to see the 2024 Championship Round NFL best bets from a model on a 183-129 run on top-rated picks, and find out.
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Author: CBS Sports Staff
January 22, 2024 | 1:11 pm
