The Denver Broncos will try to continue their ascent on Saturday when they visit Ford Field to face the Detroit Lions in an NFL Week 15 matchup. The Broncos started the season 1-5, but are now one of six teams with 7-6 records and sit one game behind Kansas City in the AFC West standings. They could become the fifth team in NFL history to make the postseason after a 1-5 start. The Lions (9-4) lead the NFC North by two games, but have lost two of their past three, including a 28-13 division loss to the Bears last Sunday. Denver has won its past three meetings with the Lions.
Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET in Detroit. The Lions are 4.5-point favorites in the latest Broncos vs. Lions odds on the SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 48. Before you make any Lions vs. Broncos picks, you need to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 15 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 176-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 30-21 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has simulated Broncos vs. Lions 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NFL picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Lions vs. Broncos:
- Broncos vs. Lions spread: Detroit -4.5
- Broncos vs. Lions over/under: 48 points
- Broncos vs. Lions money line: Denver +181, Detroit -222
- DEN: Broncos are 9-6 against the spread in their past 15 games as underdogs
- DET: Lions are 10-5 ATS at home since the start of last season
- Broncos vs. Lions picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why the Lions can cover
Detroit is 8-5 against the spread in 2023 and has covered six straight non-division games as a favorite. The offense is loaded with playmakers, with quarterback Jared Goff leading a unit that averages 390 yards per game (third-most in NFL) and 6.0 yards per play (fourth). Goff has thrown for 3,449 yards and 21 touchdowns. The quarterback relies heavily on receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown (1,063 yards, six touchdowns) and rookie tight end Sam LaPorta (702-6).
The Lions also rank fifth in the league in rushing (137.5 yards per game). Jahmyr Gibbs is third in yards from scrimmage (980) and fellow running back David Montgomery has 770 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns. Detroit’s defense ranks 15th in yards allowed (323.5), while Denver is 30th (377.4). End Aidan Hutchinson has 6.5 sacks and is third in QB pressures (76). See who to back at SportsLine.
Why the Broncos can cover
Denver went from a 0.1% chance of making the playoffs after Week 6 to 40.9% entering Week 15. The Broncos have missed the playoffs the past seven seasons. They lead the NFL in turnover differential (plus-11) and are second in points allowed (15.6 per game) during their 6-1 run. The Lions are minus-8 and yielding 28.6 points per game over that span. Denver’s Russell Wilson has thrown for 2,662 yards and 23 touchdowns while completing 67.2% of his throws.
Wilson has avoided throwing an interception in five games and Denver has gone 5-2 against the spread during the recent run. Jared Goff has turned the ball over nine times since Week 8. Denver’s Courtland Sutton has scored in seven of the past eight to give him 10 receiving touchdowns and is one of three players in double-digits. The defense has given up plenty of yardage, but has made huge strides in the second half of 2023. The Broncos share the league lead with 24 takeaways. See who to back at SportsLine.
How to make Broncos vs. Lions picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning Under the total, projecting 47 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the model’s NFL picks and analysis at SportsLine.
So who wins Broncos vs. Lions on Saturday in NFL Week 15, and which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Lions vs. Broncos spread to back, all from the model on a 176-129 roll on top-rated NFL picks, and find out.
Go to Source
Author: CBS Sports Staff
December 16, 2023 | 1:25 pm
