The Buffalo Bills will welcome the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to Orchard Park on Thursday Night Football to kick off the Week 8 NFL schedule. Buffalo will try to right the ship after a disappointing Week 7 loss to the New England Patriots. The Bills are now 4-3 this season, including a 3-1 mark at home. Tampa Bay is 3-3 overall following a loss to Atlanta, though the Buccaneers are 2-0 on the road this season.
Kickoff is at 8:15 p.m. ET in Buffalo. For this game, SportsLine consensus lists Buffalo as a 9.5-point favorite, while the over/under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 43.5 in the latest Buccaneers vs. Bills odds. Before you make any Bills vs. Buccaneers picks or Thursday Night Football predictions, you need to see what proven SportsLine expert Micah Roberts has to say, given his mastery of picks involving Tampa Bay.
Roberts has worked in the Las Vegas sportsbook industry for 20-plus years, including a 13-year run as Station Casinos’ book director. Armed with an elaborate network of sources, Roberts has unmatched info in multiple sports. He has a particularly keen eye for Tampa Bay, going 16-7-1 on his NFL picks involving the Buccaneers, returning $830 to $100 bettors. Anyone who has followed his advice is way up.
Now, Roberts has locked in on Buccaneers vs. Bills from every angle and just locked in his picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Bills vs. Bucs:
- Buccaneers vs. Bills spread: Bills -9.5
- Buccaneers vs. Bills over/under: 43.5 points
- Buccaneers vs. Bills money line: Bills -450, Buccaneers +345
- TB: Buccaneers are 3-3 against the spread this season
- BUF: Bills are 3-4 against the spread this season
- Buccaneers vs. Bills picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why the Buccaneers can cover
The Buccaneers have allowed only 26 combined points in two road wins and are No. 6 in the NFL in scoring defense. The Buccaneers are allowing only 17.3 points per game and 1.65 points per drive and are elite near the goal line. The Buccaneers are No. 1 in allowing opponents to turn only 22.2% of red zone appearances into touchdowns, and Tampa Bay is highly opportunistic.
Tampa Bay is No. 2 in the league with 13 takeaways, forcing a turnover on 21.0% of defensive possessions this season. Buffalo has committed 11 turnovers on offense, showing vulnerability in ball security, and Tampa Bay is also quite stout against the run. The Buccaneers are also allowing only 3.8 yards per carry, with a top-10 mark in rushing defense (575 yards allowed). With an offense that has only committed six turnovers all season, Tampa Bay is in a strong position. See which team to back here.
Why the Bills can cover
Buffalo’s offense ranks near the top of the NFL in several categories, including scoring, total yards, third down efficiency, and red zone efficiency. The Bills also bring a stout defense, however, and this is a friendly matchup on that side of the ball. Tampa Bay is No. 26 in the NFL in scoring offense, averaging only 17.2 points per game, and in the bottom third in total yards, first downs, rushing yards, and yards per rush attempt.
The Bills are giving up only 16.9 points per game, a top-five mark, and opponents are scoring on only 31.5% of offensive possessions while averaging 1.55 points per drive. Buffalo has 14 takeaways this season, and no team has a higher turnover creation rate (19.2% of drives) than the Bills. The Bills also have 25 sacks, second-most in the NFL, and Leonard Floyd leads the pass rush with 6.5 sacks to rank in the top 10 of the league. Buffalo is also strong in red zone efficiency allowed (40.0%), and opponents have only six passing touchdowns against the Bills this season. See which team to back here.
How to make Buccaneers vs. Bills picks
Roberts has analyzed this matchup and while we can tell you he’s leaning Under the point total, he has also discovered a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the spread. He’s sharing what it is, and which side to back, only at SportsLine.
Who wins Bills vs. Buccaneers on Thursday Night Football, and which critical X-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Bills vs. Buccaneers spread hits hard, all from the expert who is on an impressive 16-7 run on picks involving Tampa Bay, and find out.
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Author: CBS Sports Staff
October 26, 2023 | 10:46 am
