The Buffalo Bills will try to stay undefeated against the NFC when they host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Thursday Night Football at Highmark Stadium. Buffalo (4-3) is a perfect 2-0 against the NFC this season, with wins over the Commanders in Week 3 and Giants in Week 6. The Bills are scheduled to also face the Eagles in Week 12 and the Cowboys in Week 15. Meanwhile, Thursday’s game will be the first this season against an AFC team for Tampa Bay (3-3), which is coming off a 16-13 loss to the Falcons.
Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET. Buffalo is a 9.5-point favorite in the latest Bills vs. Buccaneers odds while the over/under for total points scored is 43.5. Before you make any Buccaneers vs. Bills picks or NFL predictions, you need to see the NFL betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 8 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 173-122 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 27-14 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has zeroed in on Bills vs. Buccaneers and just revealed its picks and predictions. You can see the model’s picks only at SportsLine. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Buccaneers vs. Bills:
- Bills vs. Buccaneers spread: Buffalo -9.5
- Bills vs. Buccaneers over/under: 43.5 points
- Bills vs. Buccaneers money line: Buffalo -450, Tampa Bay +345
- BUF: Bills rank second in the league in sacks (25)
- TB: Buccaneers are second in turnovers forced (seven)
- Bills vs. Buccaneers: See picks here
Why the Bills can cover
Quarterback Josh Allen has excelled this season against the blitz. The 6-foot-5, 237-pound Allen has seven passing touchdowns and only one interception when blitzed this season. That bodes well against a Buccaneers defense that blitzes at the third-highest rate in the NFL (40%) this season and allows the fourth most yards per attempt (8.3) on the blitz.
In addition, Tampa Bay has struggled to run the ball this season. The Buccaneers average just 3.1 yards per carry; only the Raiders (3.0) are worse in the NFL. Tampa Bay also averages just 77.8 rushing yards per game; just three teams average fewer. See which team to pick here.
Why the Buccaneers can cover
Lavonte David is having arguably one of the best seasons of his career. The veteran linebacker, who is in his 12th season with Tampa Bay, leads the team in tackles (53) and tackles for loss (six). He is on pace to surpass the career-high 147 tackles he had over 16 games in the 2015 season.
In addition, the Buccaneers face a Buffalo defense that’s coming off its worst game of the season. In last Sunday’s loss to New England, the Bills allowed season worsts in points (29) and yards per attempt (8.9) while also giving up 6.6 yards per play (second most this year). The Patriots entered the game ranked No. 31 in scoring offense, having scored 20 points total over their previous three games. See which team to pick here.
How to make Bills vs. Buccaneers picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning Under on the point total, calling for 42 total points. The model also says one side of the spread cashes in over 50% of simulations. You can see the model’s NFL picks and analysis only at SportsLine.
So who wins Buccaneers vs. Bills on Thursday Night Football, and which side of the spread hits over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Buccaneers vs. Bills spread you should jump on, all from the advanced model that is up more than $7,000 on top-rated NFL picks, and find out.
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Author: CBS Sports Staff
October 26, 2023 | 10:20 am
