The Buffalo Bills will try to bounce back from a surprising defeat when they host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Thursday Night Football at Highmark Stadium. Last Sunday, Buffalo (4-3) lost 29-25 to a Patriots team that had dropped three in a row, scoring a combined 20 points over those three games. Entering Week 8, the Bills find themselves in second place in the AFC East standings, one game behind Miami. Tampa Bay (3-3) has lost three of its last four, including the last two. Despite the slump, the Buccaneers are just a half game behind division-leading Atlanta in the NFC South standings.
Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET. Buffalo is an 8.5-point favorite in the latest Bills vs. Buccaneers odds while the over/under for total points scored is 42.5. Before you make any Buccaneers vs. Bills picks or NFL predictions, you need to see the NFL betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 8 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 173-122 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 27-14 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has zeroed in on Bills vs. Buccaneers and just revealed its picks and predictions. You can see the model’s picks only at SportsLine. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Buccaneers vs. Bills:
- Bills vs. Buccaneers spread: Buffalo -8.5
- Bills vs. Buccaneers over/under: 42.5 points
- Bills vs. Buccaneers money line: Buffalo -415, Tampa Bay +323
- BUF: Bills rank second in the league in sacks (25)
- TB: Buccaneers are second in turnovers forced (seven)
- Bills vs. Buccaneers: See picks here
Why the Bills can cover
Buffalo has the pass rush to affect Buccaneers quarterback Baker Mayfield. The Bills have registered 25 sacks this season, which ranks second in the league behind only Baltimore (29). Eight Buffalo players have at least one sack, led by defensive end Leonard Floyd, who has 6.5.
In addition, Mayfield has cooled off considerably since his hot start to the season. The former No. 1 overall pick completed 69.1% of his passes with three touchdowns and zero interceptions and had a 104.4 passer rating over the first two games. In four games since then, he has completed 63.2% of his passes with five touchdowns and four interceptions and a 81.5 passer rating. See which team to pick here.
Why the Buccaneers can cover
Tampa Bay faces a Buffalo defense that has been ravaged by injuries at all three levels this season. Lineman DaQuan Jones (pectoral muscle), linebacker Matt Milano (leg) and cornerback Tre’Davious White (Achilles) are all likely out for the season. Without those three last Sunday, the defense allowed a struggling New England offense to set season-highs in points (29), yards per play (6.6) and passing yards per attempt (8.9).
In addition, the Buccaneers have done an excellent job of winning the turnover battle this season. The defense has a +7 turnover margin, which leads the league. Last week against the Falcons, Tampa Bay forced three turnovers. See which team to pick here.
How to make Bills vs. Buccaneers picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning Under on the point total, calling for 42 total points. The model also says one side of the spread cashes in well over 50% of simulations. You can see the model’s NFL picks and analysis only at SportsLine.
So who wins Buccaneers vs. Bills on Thursday Night Football, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Buccaneers vs. Bills spread you should jump on, all from the advanced model that is up more than $7,000 on top-rated NFL picks, and find out.
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Author: CBS Sports Staff
October 25, 2023 | 11:15 am
