NFL

NFL odds, lines, picks, spreads, bets, predictions for Week 6, 2023: Model loving Falcons, Seahawks

by
SaC Bot
October 12, 2023

USATSI

It could be a competitive Week 6 NFL schedule, especially during the 1 p.m. ET window on Sunday. Six of those seven games feature NFL spreads of five points or fewer, according to the latest Week 6 NFL odds. Only two games in the Week 6 NFL betting odds for Sunday feature double-digit favorites: Dolphins (-13.5) vs. Panthers and Giants vs. Bills (-14). Should your Week 6 NFL picks include backing those double-digit favorites to cover the spread, and which NFL underdogs have a chance to make some noise? All of the Week 6 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine’s advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and NFL predictions you need to make the best Week 6 NFL picks now.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 6 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 171-119 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 25-11 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 6 NFL odds and locked in picks for every NFL matchup. Head here to see every pick.

Top Week 6 NFL predictions

We can tell you one of the model’s strongest Week 6 NFL picks is that the Falcons (-2.5) cover at home against the Commanders. Washington is coming off a lopsided 40-20 defeat against the Chicago Bears and the Commanders have now lost their last three games. Atlanta, meanwhile, is 4-1 in its last five games against opponents from the NFC.

The Falcons are also 5-0 in their last five contests at home, while the Commanders are 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 games overall. SportsLine’s model is projecting Bijan Robinson will average over 5.0 yards per carry, while Drake London and Kyle Pitts both finish with over 50 receiving yards, a big reason why the Falcons (-2.5) cover in nearly 60% of simulations. See which other teams to pick here.

Another one of its Week 6 NFL predictions: The Seahawks (+2.5) cover the spread on the road versus the Bengals. Seattle will be well-rested after coming off a bye and has covered in its last three games. Meanwhile, the Bengals have covered just once all season and have failed to cover in their last four home games going back to the 2022 season.

Both teams are giving up exactly 22.8 points per game, but the difference lies on the offensive side of the ball. Seattle averages the sixth-most points per game (27.8), while Cincinnati averages the sixth-fewest (16.6). Cincinnati may be forced into a one-dimensional offense on Sunday with the Seahawks holding opponents to a league-low 3.2 yards per rush. With Seattle having advantages in terms of rest, against the spread performance and offense, the Seahawks (+3) are projected to cover well over 50% of the time. The model also says the Under (45) hits in well over 50% of simulations. See which other teams to pick here.

How to make Week 6 NFL picks

The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other game on the Week 6 NFL schedule and revealed two coveted A-rated picks. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.

So what NFL picks can you make with confidence, and which A-rated picks should you lock in now? Check out the latest NFL odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned well over $7,000 since its inception, and find out.