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Top NFL football knockout, survivor pool picks, strategy, advice for Week 1, 2023: Dodge the 49ers

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NFL survivor pools are one of the easiest ways to have an interest in the season because all you have to do is pick one team to win outright every week. The catch is that you only get to use each team once throughout the course of the season, so you have to look ahead on the NFL schedule to determine when might be a good time to burn a team. Without many clear-cut favorites on the Week 1 NFL schedule, making your Week 1 NFL survivor pool picks could be a challenge. The Ravens are favored by 10 over the Texans according to the latest Week 1 NFL odds, but every other game on the schedule features a spread of a touchdown or less.

Does that mean you should use the Ravens in your NFL survivor picks against a rookie quarterback or is there another option that allows you to save Baltimore for later in the season? Before finalizing any Week 1 NFL survivor picks, see which team the red-hot SportsLine Projection Model just went all-in on.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 163-113 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 17-6 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up. 

Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 1 NFL odds and locked in its Week 1 survivor pool pick. You can only see who the model is backing this week at SportsLine.

Top Week 1 NFL survivor pool predictions 

For Week 1 of the 2023 NFL season, the model is shying away from the San Francisco 49ers, even though they’re coming off a 13-4 season and are favored over a Steelers team that went 9-8 and missed the playoffs. Brock Purdy appears on track to start in Week 1 after undergoing offseason elbow surgery. The pressure will be on Purdy to prove that last year was no fluke, and missing most of training camp is not optimal for a player who had only has seven starts to his name.

Meanwhile, the Steelers closed the 2022 season on a tear, winning six of their last seven and narrowly missing out on a playoff berth. Pittsburgh seems confident in Kenny Pickett as the long-term answer at quarterback despite an up-and-down rookie season and is expecting to take a step forward offensively. The Steelers also already have a top-10 defense led by former NFL Defensive Player of the Year T.J. Watt, Those are all reasons why the model is ultimately avoiding the risk in this spot with San Francisco, saving one of the NFL’s best rosters for further down the road. See which team to pick here.

How to make Week 1 NFL survivor pool picks 

Instead, the model is backing a team that closed out last season with back-to-back wins and has had plenty of success against its Week 1 opponent. The time to pick this team is now, and you can only see the play over at SportsLine.

Which surprising team is a must-back in your Week 1 survivor pool? Visit SportsLine now to see which team carries you to victory in Week 1, all from the advanced computer model that consistently crushes the NFL, and find out.

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Author: CBS Sports Staff
August 31, 2023 | 11:50 am

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