USFL playoff picture: Here’s who’s in, who’s out and everything to know entering Week 10

The 2023 USFL champion will be crowned in less than three weeks, but there’s still plenty to be determined when it comes to the playoff picture. Much of it will come down to the final week of the regular season next Saturday and Sunday; we did, however, learn a few things in Week 9.

For starters, we learned that while the defending champion Birmingham Stallions didn’t always look like the best team this season, make no mistake: the Stallions are the team to beat. Birmingham became the first team to clinch a playoff spot — the only team to clinch with one game remaining in Week 9 — after dismantling the Houston Gamblers.

So, who else will make the playoffs? We’ll dive into every team’s chances below, but first a look at the Week 9 scores.

Saturday
Pittsburgh Maulers 19, Michigan Panthers 7
New Orleans Breakers 31, Memphis Showboats 3
Sunday
Birmingham Stallions 38, Houston Gamblers 15
Philadelphia Stars at New Jersey Generals, 7 p.m. ET on Fox

South Division playoff race

The Stallions (7-2), as noted above, are in the playoffs. The New Orleans Breakers (6-3) sit a game back, and split their two games with Birmingham during the regular season, so they still have an outside shot at the top seed. The other two South teams — the Houston Gamblers (5-4) and Memphis Showboats (5-4) — need a win in Week 10 combined with a Breakers loss to have any chance at getting the No. 2 seed.

The South teams all play each other in Week 10 — Stallions vs. Showboats on Saturday, and Breakers vs. Gamblers on Sunday. 

The Stallions’ two losses this season came against the Breakers in Week 3 and Gamblers in Week 5. Since the start of last season’s USFL reboot, Birmingham has gone just 2-2 against Houston and 16-1 against every other team combined. 

Stallions quarterback Alex McGough added to his case as league MVP on Sunday, throwing for 208 yards with 2 TDs and 1 INT (his first interception since Week 4). One of McGough’s TD throws was this one to Jace Sternberger just before the half. 

Sternberger’s touchdown gave the Stallions a one-point lead heading into halftime, but it was all Birmingham in the second half.

The Breakers — aka the only USFL team other than Houston to beat the Stallions in the past two years — also have momentum on their side after crushing the Memphis Showboats. New Orleans controls its own playoff destiny, with a win over the Gamblers next week giving it the No. 2 seed. 

The Breakers did it with defense on Saturday, including one of the wildest plays in the league this season that resulted in a pick-six.

New Orleans looks to be back on track after stumbling to three straight losses after a 4-0 start. It’ll be a surprise if the Stallions and Breakers aren’t the two South playoff teams.

North Division playoff race

There’s a strong argument to be made that the USFL’s four best teams reside in the South Division and its four worst in the North. Take the Pittsburgh Maulers, for example — a team that was 2-6 last week and still controls its own playoff destiny.

Pittsburgh’s win over the Michigan Panthers put both teams at 3-6. The other two North teams — the division-leading Philadelphia Stars (4-4) and New Jersey Generals (2-6) — are playing the final Week 9 game on Sunday night.

A Stars win in that game would make them the second team to clinch a playoff spot, as well as give them the North crown. A Generals victory would put the Stars at 4-5 and every other team in the division a game back.

The good news for the Stars — who lost to the Stallions in the USFL title game last year — and every North team is that, as the XFL title game proved, regular-season records don’t mean anything in the playoffs.

The Week 10 games in the division pit the Maulers vs. Generals and the Stars vs. Panthers.