Every NFL team’s odds to win the Super Bowl following opening days of free agency

NFL free agency is underway and we’ve already seen several marquee names sign big contracts. Derek Carr is now in New Orleans, Jimmy Garoppolo is in Las Vegas, and Javon Hargrave moved from Philadelphia to San Francisco, just to name a few.

There are still a few more dominos to drop, like Orlando Brown or a potential Jets’ acquisition of Aaron Rodgers, but next year’s Super Bowl odds are crystalizing a few days into the mayhem.

Let’s take a look at where each team’s Super Bowl odds stand below and if any are value bets, though let’s first see how you can secure a guaranteed $365 win from Bet365!

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After you’ve secured your $365, perhaps you’ll want to use some of those bonus bets on one of these Super Bowl futures:

Every NFL team’s odds to win the Super Bowl

• Kansas City Chiefs: +600
• San Francisco 49ers: +700
• Buffalo Bills: +850
• Philadelphia Eagles: +850
• Cincinnati Bengals: +900
• Dallas Cowboys: +1400
• New York Jets: +1400
• Baltimore Ravens: +2500
• Denver Broncos: +2500
• Miami Dolphins: +2500
• Detroit Lions: +2500
• Los Angeles Chargers: +2500
• Jacksonville Jaguars: +2800
• Green Bay Packers: +3500
• Cleveland Browns: +3500
• New Orleans Saints: +3500
• Las Vegas Raiders: +4000
• New York Giants: +4000
• Minnesota Vikings: +4500
• Chicago Bears: +5000
• Pittsburgh Steelers: +5500
• Carolina Panthers: +5500
• New England Patriots: +6000
• Los Angeles Rams: +6000
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers: +6500
• Washington Commanders: +7000
• Seattle Seahawks: +7000
• Atlanta Falcons: +7500
• Tennessee Titans: +8000
• Indianapolis Colts: +15000
• Houston Texans: +20000
• Arizona Cardinals: +20000

3 teams to bet now

Looking at the NFL landscape, three of these teams jump out to me as potential values.

Kansas City Chiefs (+600)

NFL • 2024 Futures

Super Bowl 2024

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Odds last updated

March 15th, 2023, at 4:46 pm

As long as Patrick Mahomes stays healthy, the Chiefs should be closer to +400. After signing Jawaan Taylor and Charles Omenihu, Kansas City filled two critical holes left after Frank Clark and Orlando Brown’s respective departures. The team should be even better next year, while the rest of the AFC looks weaker at the top.

Buffalo and Cincinnati both have to replace crucial defensive contributors, while the Lamar Jackson contract dispute hamstrings Baltimore. I’m not a believer in Aaron Rodgers at this stage of his career, so the Jets aren’t scary either. At +600 odds, the Chiefs are an excellent value.

Jacksonville Jaguars (+2800)

NFL • 2024 Futures

Super Bowl 2024

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Odds last updated

March 15th, 2023, at 4:46 pm

I believe the Jags and Jets should be flipped here, as Trevor Lawrence’s rapid rise will make Jacksonville a contender as soon as next year. Adding Calvin Ridley from suspension and resigning Evan Engram gives the offense dynamic playmakers alongside Travis Etienne and Christian Kirk, while the defense should take a step forward next year as its recent high-draft picks continue to develop.

The Colts, Texans, and Titans have the three worst Super Bowl odds of all AFC teams. With little-to-no competition in the division, Jacksonville will cruise to a home playoff game and will end the season closer to +1200 to win the Lombardi.

New York Giants (+4000)

NFL • 2024 Futures

Super Bowl 2024

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Odds last updated

March 15th, 2023, at 4:46 pm

Surveying the landscape of the NFC, things get thin quickly after the Eagles and 49ers. There’s a power vacuum near the top of the conference and the Giants are poised to step into that void.

Daniel Jones is back for another year of development under quarterback-whisperer Brian Daboll after a strong showing last year. Darren Waller is a huge acquisition and gives Jones a legitimate pass-catching option, though I expect another move at wide receiver whether in the draft or free agency.

Bobby Okereke is a great get for the linebacker room, and I trust this coaching staff to have the Giants back in the playoffs with shorter odds than +4000.

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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change. 

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Author: Joseph Summers