The Detroit Pistons host the Indiana Pacers in a rematch on Monday evening after Detroit fell to Indiana on Saturday. The Pistons enter the second matchup on an 11-game losing streak, and their 15-53 overall record is the worst in the NBA. Indiana is 31-37 overall after three wins in the last four contests. Tyrese Haliburton (knee), Myles Turner (back) and Bennedict Mathurin (ankle) are out for Indiana, with Buddy Hield (foot) listed as questionable. Bojan Bogdanovic (Achilles), Alec Burks (foot), Jaden Ivey (protocols), Isaiah Stewart (shoulder), Marvin Bagley III (ankle), and Cade Cunningham (tibia) are out for Detroit.
Caesars Sportsbook lists Indiana as a 3.5-point favorite, and tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 226 in the latest Pacers vs. Pistons odds. Before making any Pistons vs. Pacers picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 22 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 64-33 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $2,700. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Pacers vs. Pistons and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Pistons vs. Pacers:
- Pacers vs. Pistons spread: Pacers -3.5
- Pacers vs. Pistons over/under: 226 points
- Pacers vs. Pistons money line: Pacers -165, Pistons +140
- IND: The Pacers are 16-17 against the spread in road games
- DET: The Pistons are 14-19-1 against the spread in home games
- Pacers vs. Pistons picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why the Pacers can cover
Indiana stands to benefit from the struggles of Detroit. The Pistons have lost 11 straight games, and Detroit has bottom-tier marks in offense and defense. Detroit is the third-worst team in the NBA in defensive efficiency, allowing more than 1.17 points per possession. The Pistons are also in the bottom five of the league in opponent shooting and free throw prevention on defense, and Detroit’s offense has the league’s worst 2-point shooting (51.7%) with only 1.52 assists for every turnover.
For the Pacers, offensive potency is key, as Indiana is in the top six of the NBA in fast break points (18.6 per game), assists (26.7 per game), assist percentage (64.0%), and 3-pointers (13.9 per game). On defense, Indiana creates havoc on a regular basis, generating 15.4 takeaways per game. That places the Pacers in the top five of the league, and Indiana is in the top seven in both steals (8.0 per game) and blocked shots (6.0 per game).
Why the Pistons can cover
The Pistons fell short in the first matchup on Friday, but Detroit committed a turnover on only 11% of possessions and had seven players score in double figures against Indiana. For the season, Detroit leads the NBA in free throw creation, averaging 26.5 attempts per game. The Pistons are also very adept on the offensive glass, securing 29.1% of available rebounds after missed shots. Detroit is also in the top 10 of the league with 14.8 second-chance points per game.
From there, the Pistons can take solace in Indiana’s struggling defense. The Pacers are allowing nearly 1.16 points per possession, a bottom-five figure in the NBA this season, and Indiana is dead-last in the league with a 68.6% defensive rebound rate. The Pacers also give up 25.7 free throw attempts per game, feeding into Detroit’s already present strength in offensive rebounding, and Indiana is in the bottom five in assists allowed (26.2 per game).
How to make Pistons vs. Pacers picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the total, projecting a combined 235 points The model also says one side of the spread hits over 60% of the time. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Pacers vs. Pistons? And which side of the spread hits in over 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.
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